In the first nine months of 2019, 88% of CMBS office loans were paid off when they matured. As interest rates and vacancies rose, that share dropped to 71% in the first nine months of 2022 and to just 31.2% this year.
US Debt
The U.S. Treasury has issued a net $2 trillion in new debt this year, a record when excluding the pandemic borrowing spree of 2020.
Private Credit
About 58% of the total capital deployed by private credit managers globally is estimated to come from firms that lend more than $10 billion per year.
Retail Sales
U.S. retail sales fell 0.1% in October from a month earlier, the first decline since March and comes after a 0.9% increase in September. From a year earlier, sales rose 2.5% in October, well slower than the pace of price increases.
Mezz Debt
Lenders this year have issued a record number of foreclosure notices for high-risk property loans. Commonly known as mezzanine loans, these loans have high interest rates and offer a faster and easier path to foreclose than mortgages. The current number of these high-risk loans is the highest total ever for a single year, as higher interest rates and rising vacancies punish the property sector.
Trump Waikiki
The Trump International Hotel Waikiki, in Honolulu, Hawaii, is set to rebrand under Hilton’s luxury LXR Hotels & Resorts brand. The hotel will be renamed Wākea Waikiki Beach and managed by Hilton beginning in February 2024, after the property owner Irongate and Trump Hotels came to a “mutual agreement” to sever ties after a “significant buyout of the hotel management and license agreements.”
Home Sales & Prices
With mortgage rates near 8% and average home prices hitting record highs, sales of existing homes were down 15.4% year-over-year in September.
Signature Loan Auction
Regulators closed Signature Bank in March after a run on its deposits, marking the fourth-largest bank failure in U.S. history. Now, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. is auctioning off thousands of Signature loans backed by apartment buildings and other commercial properties primarily in the New York region. Bids are due Thursday on what is the biggest and most closely watched commercial-property sale of the year. Loans are expected to sell on average 15% to 40% below their original face amount.
WeWork Leases
Through bankruptcy, WeWork filed a motion to reject approximately 69 active leases, 40 of which are in New York. The company also said it is in active negotiations with more than 400 landlords to amend existing leases.
Bain Guidehouse
Bain Capital is close to acquiring Guidehouse, a consulting firm that advises government organizations and businesses, in a deal valuing it at $5.3 billion including debt.